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Monthly Macro & Strategy | Are we out of the woods?

January 11, 2024

The markets have been keeping a close watch on central banks across the globe, monitoring their policy decisions and reacting accordingly. Looking forward to 2024, we think the tried-and-tested Taylor rule — a useful tool for an understanding of the drivers of monetary policy — could offer hints on the dynamics that lie ahead in monetary policy land. 

 

Highlights:

  • Global economy negatively impacted by monetary tightening, but inflationary pressures expected to dissipate.
  • Taylor rule framework indicates it's time for central banks to act on monetary easing, but markets look like they overestimate speed and number of cuts.
  • Equity investors increasingly comfortable with a 2024 soft landing and multiple rate cuts, driving bullish stock market momentum.

 

Your Monthly Macro & Strategy is also on the iA Global Asset Management website.

 

 Your experts

 

Sébastien Mc Mahon, MA, PRM, CFA
Chief Strategist, Senior Economist and Vice-President, Asset Allocation & Portfolio Manager

Follow Sébastien Mc Mahon on   

 

 

Adil Mahroug, M.Sc.
Senior Strategist and Director, Asset Allocation

 

 

 

Tuyen Tran, M.Sc., CFA
Senior Analyst, Asset Allocation and Economics

 

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Topic : Economic news

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