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Monthly Macro & Strategy | Crossroads: Witnessing China’s Japan moment

November 5, 2024

China’s authorities have been drip-feeding stimulus measures for about a month, as the world’s second-largest economy struggles to regain momentum.

Highlights:

  • The upcoming U.S. elections are too close to call, with potential market impacts that could be significant following election night.
  • China's economic challenges, including a struggling real estate sector and high debt levels, mirror the situation faced by Japan in the 1990s, suggesting a cautionary tale for policymakers and investors.
  • We maintain an overweight position in equities, focusing on US and emerging market equities, with optimism due to improving odds of stimulus in China.

 

 Your experts

 

Sébastien Mc Mahon, MA, PRM, CFA
Chief Strategist, Senior Economist and Vice-President, Asset Allocation & Portfolio Manager

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Alex Bellefleur, MA, CFA
Senior Vice-President, Head of Research, Asset Allocation

 

 

Tuyen Tran, M.Sc., CFA
Senior Analyst, Asset Allocation and Economics

 

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Topic : Economic news

Written by iAGAM

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