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Monthly Macro & Strategy | Across the Murky Waters

February 6, 2025

Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency has reignited concerns about protectionism and its implications for global trade.

Highlights:

  • Reducing internal trade barriers could significantly boost Canada's GDP per capita by up to 4%, enhancing economic resilience in the face of tariff threats.
  • Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, Europe's low expectations set the stage for potential upside surprises in 2025.
  • We remain overweight on equities, focusing on U.S. and Canadian markets due to favourable earnings and the positive impact of deregulation.

 

 Your experts

 

Sébastien Mc Mahon, MA, PRM, CFA
Chief Strategist, Senior Economist and Vice-President, Asset Allocation & Portfolio Manager

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Alex Bellefleur, MA, CFA
Senior Vice-President, Head of Research, Asset Allocation

 

 

Tuyen Tran, M.Sc., CFA
Senior Analyst, Asset Allocation and Economics

 

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