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Monthly Macro & Strategy | Pour some sugar on me

June 6, 2025

Monthly Macro & Strategy | Pour some sugar on me
1:06

In May, markets rebounded thanks to a perceived de-escalation of trade tensions, particularly after the surprise suspension of certain tariff measures. Despite an uncertain climate, investors reacted positively to a “less bad” scenario, despite the contradictions in the Republican economic program.

Highlights:

  • Markets calmed in May, but structural risks—like inflation, debt, and fiscal
    uncertainty—remain.
  • Our base case sees an economic stagnation with the Fed on hold through 2026.
  • We're underweight U.S. equities in favor of global markets and remain cautious on fixed income.

 

 Your experts

 

Sébastien Mc Mahon, MA, PRM, CFA
Chief Strategist, Senior Economist and Vice-President, Asset Allocation & Portfolio Manager

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Alex Bellefleur, MA, CFA
Senior Vice-President, Head of Research, Asset Allocation

 

 

Tuyen Tran, M.Sc., CFA
Senior Analyst, Asset Allocation and Economics

 

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