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Monthly Macro & Strategy | Rockin’ around the recession odds

December 6, 2023

Whether the U.S. economy enters a recession in the next few months remains an important, if not crucial, anchor for any investment strategy. Pleasantly surprised by the resilience of the U.S. economy, this edition highlights a few reasons that underlie the recent “American exceptionalism”.

 

Highlights:

  • Despite the recent resilience of the U.S. economy, our internal model continues to point to elevated recession risks ahead.
  • Within equities, valuations are getting pricier globally. Canada, U.S. small caps and EAFE seem to offer better value.
  • The sharp fall in market rates in November led us to tactically close some of our overweight on sovereign bonds. 

 

Your Monthly Macro & Strategy is on the iA Global Asset Management website and in the Document Centre of the Advisor Centre. Bookmark the following link: Monthly Macro and Strategy.

 

 Your experts

 

Sébastien Mc Mahon, MA, PRM, CFA
Chief Strategist, Senior Economist and Vice-President, Asset Allocation & Portfolio Manager

Follow Sébastien Mc Mahon on   

 

 

Adil Mahroug, M.Sc.
Senior Strategist and Director, Asset Allocation

 

 

 

Tuyen Tran, M.Sc., CFA
Senior Analyst, Asset Allocation and Economics

 

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"iAGAM" is a tradename under which iA Global Asset Management Inc. and Industrial Alliance Investment Management Inc. operate. 

 

Topic : Economic news

Written by iAGAM

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