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Monthly Macro & Strategy | Under Pressure

October 7, 2025

Monthly Macro & Strategy | Under Pressure
1:12

The Federal Reserve, arguably the most important economic institution in the world, is under pressure. But not the kind that comes from inflation data or labour market volatility. This pressure is political, and it’s blatant.

Highlights:

  • Political pressure on the Federal Reserve is intensifying, threatening its independence and signaling a major regime shift in U.S. monetary policy.
  • A politicized Fed is likely to cut rates for electoral reasons, fueling asset bubbles and driving risk assets higher despite rising inflation.
  • We remain overweight equities and gold, with new positions in emerging markets and an underweight stance on the U.S. dollar, reflecting the evolving macro and policy landscape.

 

 Your experts

 

Sébastien Mc Mahon, MA, PRM, CFA
Chief Strategist, Senior Economist and Vice-President, Asset Allocation & Portfolio Manager

Follow Sébastien Mc Mahon on   

 

 

 

Alex Bellefleur, MA, CFA
Senior Vice-President, Head of Research, Asset Allocation

 

 

Tuyen Tran, M.Sc., CFA
Senior Analyst, Asset Allocation and Economics

 

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